By 2050, 85 percent of global electricity needs and 44 percent of total energy needs will be met by renewables, according to the Energy Transition Outlook 2017 report. Dutch quality assurance and risk management company DVL GL published the report, which only took into account solar photovoltaic (PV), onshore and offshore wind and hydropower plants.
Citing the report, Climate Action noted that final energy demand is expected to be 430 exajoules in 2050, compared to 400 exajoules in 2015 with a minor increase to occur before 2030, when demand will start flattening.
“The slowing down of the demand growth is expected due to decelerating population and productivity growth, energy efficiency measures, and due to increased electrification especially in the heating and transport sectors.“Thus, electricity consumption is projected to increase by 140% becoming the largest energy carrier,” Climate Action cited. Remi Eriksen, CEO of DNV GL. commented: “The profound change set out in our report has significant implications for both established and new energy companies.
“Ultimately, it will be a willingness to innovate and a capability to move at speed that will determine who is able to remain competitive in this dramatically altered energy landscape”.Noting that gas is on an upward trajectory toward becoming the biggest energy source by 2034, the report identifies coal consumption having already peaked.
Solar PV and wind power will lead the sector growth benefiting from the ‘learning curve’ effect; hydro will keep being a key energy source, Climate Action reported.Highlighting that the costs for solar PV and wind energy are expected to reduce by 18% and 16% respectively.Despite CO2 reductions expected to halve, global temperatures are set to increase by 2.5 degrees Celsius- not meeting the Paris Agreement goal of global warming to be well below 2 degrees. Read more…
Eriksen commented: “This should be a wake-up call to governments and decision-makers within the energy industry”.
“The industry has taken bold steps before, but now needs to take even bigger strides”.
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